Citations and socials
Prof. Gualberto Asencio Cortés, Ph.D. is a Computer Science Engineer (University of Seville, 2008), Master in Software Engineering and Technology (University of Seville, 2010), Ph.D. (University of Pablo de Olavide, 2013) and he has an Executive Master in Innovation (EOI, Spain, 2016). He is Associate Professor of Computer Science (Profesor Titular de Universidad), in the area of Languages and Information Systems at the University of Pablo de Olavide. He is the author of more than 28 publications in impact journals according to JCR (20 of them between Q1 and Q2) and author of more than 30 articles in international and national conferences, most of them published in LNCS and LNBI. He has participated in three projects of the National Plan and three more of the Andalusian Research Plan. He is an editor of PLOS ONE (IF: 2.806, Q1), a regular reviewer of journals indexed in JCR (PLOS ONE, Bioinformatics, Neurocomputing, Computer and Geosciences, etc.) and member of the program committee in numerous international conferences. He has participated in more than 12 technology transfer contracts between the university and the company, including ISOTROL, Red Eléctrica Española and DETEA. He has 5 months of international research stays and 3 national months.
The research lines of Prof. Gualberto Asencio Cortés, Ph.D. are focused on data mining, machine learning, prediction of time series and bioinformatics, with different fields of application: prediction of natural series (seismic, air quality, meteorological, agronomic, …), prediction of electricity consumption and market prices, prediction of urban traffic, as well as bioinformatics in prediction of biological structures. He has also been data scientist and member of the steering committee responsible for artificial intelligence and data science technologies at the private company easytosee AgTech SL for more than 2 years (2015-2017).
Publications
2023 |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés Embedded Temporal Feature Selection for Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning Conference IWANN 17th International Work-Conference on Artificial Neural Networks, 14135 , Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2023. @conference{JIMENEZ-NAVARRO23_IWANN, title = {Embedded Temporal Feature Selection for Time Series Forecasting Using Deep Learning}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-43078-7_2}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-031-43078-7_2}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-09-30}, booktitle = {IWANN 17th International Work-Conference on Artificial Neural Networks}, volume = {14135}, pages = {15-26}, series = {Lecture Notes in Computer Science}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés A New Deep Learning Architecture with Inductive Bias Balance for Oil Temperature Forecasting Journal Article Journal of Big Data, 10 , pp. 80, 2023. @article{JIMENEZ-NAVARRO23c, title = {A New Deep Learning Architecture with Inductive Bias Balance for Oil Temperature Forecasting}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://journalofbigdata.springeropen.com/articles/10.1186/s40537-023-00745-0}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-023-00745-0}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-05-28}, journal = {Journal of Big Data}, volume = {10}, pages = {80}, abstract = {Ensuring the optimal performance of power transformers is a laborious task in which the insulation system plays a vital role in decreasing their deterioration. The insulation system uses insulating oil to control temperature, as high temperatures can reduce the lifetime of the transformers and lead to expensive maintenance. Deep learning architectures have been demonstrated remarkable results in various fields. However, this improvement often comes at the cost of increased computing resources, which, in turn, increases the carbon footprint and hinders the optimization of architectures. In this study, we introduce a novel deep learning architecture that achieves a comparable efficacy to the best existing architectures in transformer oil temperature forecasting while improving efficiency. Effective forecasting can help prevent high temperatures and monitor the future condition of power transformers, thereby reducing unnecessary waste. To balance the inductive bias in our architecture, we propose the Smooth Residual Block, which divides the original problem into multiple subproblems to obtain different representations of the time series, collaboratively achieving the final forecasting. We applied our architecture to the Electricity Transformer datasets, which obtain transformer insulating oil temperature measures from two transformers in China. The results showed a 13% improvement in MSE and a 57% improvement in performance compared to the best current architectures, to the best of our knowledge. Moreover, we analyzed the architecture behavior to gain an intuitive understanding of the achieved solution.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Ensuring the optimal performance of power transformers is a laborious task in which the insulation system plays a vital role in decreasing their deterioration. The insulation system uses insulating oil to control temperature, as high temperatures can reduce the lifetime of the transformers and lead to expensive maintenance. Deep learning architectures have been demonstrated remarkable results in various fields. However, this improvement often comes at the cost of increased computing resources, which, in turn, increases the carbon footprint and hinders the optimization of architectures. In this study, we introduce a novel deep learning architecture that achieves a comparable efficacy to the best existing architectures in transformer oil temperature forecasting while improving efficiency. Effective forecasting can help prevent high temperatures and monitor the future condition of power transformers, thereby reducing unnecessary waste. To balance the inductive bias in our architecture, we propose the Smooth Residual Block, which divides the original problem into multiple subproblems to obtain different representations of the time series, collaboratively achieving the final forecasting. We applied our architecture to the Electricity Transformer datasets, which obtain transformer insulating oil temperature measures from two transformers in China. The results showed a 13% improvement in MSE and a 57% improvement in performance compared to the best current architectures, to the best of our knowledge. Moreover, we analyzed the architecture behavior to gain an intuitive understanding of the achieved solution. |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés PHILNet: A Novel Efficient Approach for Time Series Forecasting using Deep Learning Journal Article Information Sciences, 632 , pp. 815-832, 2023. @article{JIMENEZ-NAVARRO23b, title = {PHILNet: A Novel Efficient Approach for Time Series Forecasting using Deep Learning}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ins.2023.03.021}, doi = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020025523003183?via%3Dihub}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-03-03}, journal = {Information Sciences}, volume = {632}, pages = {815-832}, abstract = {Time series is one of the most common data types in the industry nowadays. Forecasting the future of a time series behavior can be useful in planning ahead, saving time, resources, and helping avoid undesired scenarios. To make the forecasting, historical data is utilized due to the causal nature of the time series. Several deep learning algorithms have been presented in this area, where the input is processed through a series of non-linear functions to produce the output. We present a novel strategy to improve the performance of deep learning models in time series forecasting in terms of efficiency while reaching similar effectiveness. This approach separates the model into levels, starting with the easiest and continuing to the most difficult. The simpler levels deal with smoothed versions of the input, whereas the most sophisticated level deals with the raw data. This strategy seeks to mimic the human learning process, in which basic tasks are completed initially, followed by more precise and sophisticated ones. Our method achieved promising results, obtaining a 35% improvement in mean squared error and a 2.6 time decrease in training time compared with the best models found in a variety of time series.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Time series is one of the most common data types in the industry nowadays. Forecasting the future of a time series behavior can be useful in planning ahead, saving time, resources, and helping avoid undesired scenarios. To make the forecasting, historical data is utilized due to the causal nature of the time series. Several deep learning algorithms have been presented in this area, where the input is processed through a series of non-linear functions to produce the output. We present a novel strategy to improve the performance of deep learning models in time series forecasting in terms of efficiency while reaching similar effectiveness. This approach separates the model into levels, starting with the easiest and continuing to the most difficult. The simpler levels deal with smoothed versions of the input, whereas the most sophisticated level deals with the raw data. This strategy seeks to mimic the human learning process, in which basic tasks are completed initially, followed by more precise and sophisticated ones. Our method achieved promising results, obtaining a 35% improvement in mean squared error and a 2.6 time decrease in training time compared with the best models found in a variety of time series. |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Mártinez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés From Simple to Complex: A Sequential Method for Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning Journal Article Logic Journal of the IGPL, in press , 2023. @article{JIMENEZ-NAVARRO23a, title = {From Simple to Complex: A Sequential Method for Enhancing Time Series Forecasting with Deep Learning}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and F. Mártinez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-01-20}, journal = {Logic Journal of the IGPL}, volume = {in press}, abstract = {Time series forecasting is a well-known deep learning application field in which previous data are used to predict the future behavior of the series. Recently, several deep learning approaches have been proposed in which several nonlinear functions are applied to the input to obtain the output. In this paper, we introduce a novel method to improve the performance of deep learning models in time series forecasting. This method divides the model into hierarchies or levels from simpler to more complex ones. Simpler levels handle smoothed versions of the input, whereas the most complex level processes the original time series. This method follows the human learning process where general/simpler tasks are performed first, and afterward, more precise/harder ones are accomplished.Our proposed methodology has been applied to the LSTM architecture, showing remarkable performance in various time series. In addition, a comparison is reported including a standard LSTM and novel methods such as DeepAR, Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), NBEATS and Echo State Network (ESN).}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Time series forecasting is a well-known deep learning application field in which previous data are used to predict the future behavior of the series. Recently, several deep learning approaches have been proposed in which several nonlinear functions are applied to the input to obtain the output. In this paper, we introduce a novel method to improve the performance of deep learning models in time series forecasting. This method divides the model into hierarchies or levels from simpler to more complex ones. Simpler levels handle smoothed versions of the input, whereas the most complex level processes the original time series. This method follows the human learning process where general/simpler tasks are performed first, and afterward, more precise/harder ones are accomplished.Our proposed methodology has been applied to the LSTM architecture, showing remarkable performance in various time series. In addition, a comparison is reported including a standard LSTM and novel methods such as DeepAR, Temporal Fusion Transformer (TFT), NBEATS and Echo State Network (ESN). |
A. M. Chacón-Maldonado and G. Asencio-Cortés and F. Martínez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso FS-Studio: An extensive and efficient feature selection experimentation tool for Weka Explorer Journal Article SoftwareX, 23 , pp. 101401, 2023. @article{Chacon2023, title = {FS-Studio: An extensive and efficient feature selection experimentation tool for Weka Explorer}, author = {A. M. Chacón-Maldonado and G. Asencio-Cortés and F. Martínez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso}, url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352711023000973}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.softx.2023.101401}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-01-01}, journal = {SoftwareX}, volume = {23}, pages = {101401}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } |
P. Jiménez-Herrera and L. Melgar-García and G. Asencio-Cortés and A. Troncoso Streaming big time series forecasting based on nearest similar patterns with application to energy consumption Journal Article Logic Journal of the IGPL, 31 (2), pp. 255-270, 2023. @article{jimenez2023, title = {Streaming big time series forecasting based on nearest similar patterns with application to energy consumption}, author = {P. Jiménez-Herrera and L. Melgar-García and G. Asencio-Cortés and A. Troncoso}, url = {https://academic.oup.com/jigpal/advance-article-abstract/doi/10.1093/jigpal/jzac017/6534493?redirectedFrom=fulltext}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1093/jigpal/jzac017}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-01-01}, journal = {Logic Journal of the IGPL}, volume = {31}, number = {2}, pages = {255-270}, abstract = {This work presents a novel approach to forecast streaming big time series based on nearest similar patterns. This approach combines a clustering algorithm with a classifier and the nearest neighbors algorithm. It presents two separate stages: offline and online. The offline phase is for training and finding the best models for clustering, classification and the nearest neighbors algorithm. The online phase is to predict big time series in real time. In the offline phase, data are divided into clusters and a forecasting model based on the nearest neighbors is trained for each cluster. In addition, a classifier is trained using the cluster assignments previously generated by the clustering algorithm. In the online phase, the classifier predicts the cluster label of an instance, and the proper nearest neighbors model according to the predicted cluster label is applied to obtain the final prediction using the similar patterns. The algorithm is able to be updated incrementally for online learning from data streams. Results are reported using electricity consumption with a granularity of 10 minutes for 4-hour-ahead forecasting and compared with well-known online benchmark learners, showing a remarkable improvement in prediction accuracy.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } This work presents a novel approach to forecast streaming big time series based on nearest similar patterns. This approach combines a clustering algorithm with a classifier and the nearest neighbors algorithm. It presents two separate stages: offline and online. The offline phase is for training and finding the best models for clustering, classification and the nearest neighbors algorithm. The online phase is to predict big time series in real time. In the offline phase, data are divided into clusters and a forecasting model based on the nearest neighbors is trained for each cluster. In addition, a classifier is trained using the cluster assignments previously generated by the clustering algorithm. In the online phase, the classifier predicts the cluster label of an instance, and the proper nearest neighbors model according to the predicted cluster label is applied to obtain the final prediction using the similar patterns. The algorithm is able to be updated incrementally for online learning from data streams. Results are reported using electricity consumption with a granularity of 10 minutes for 4-hour-ahead forecasting and compared with well-known online benchmark learners, showing a remarkable improvement in prediction accuracy. |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and I. S. Brito and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés SAC 38th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing, 2023. @conference{EVAPOCVOA23, title = {A bioinspired ensemble approach for multi-horizon reference evapotranspiration forecasting in Portugal}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and I. S. Brito and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://dl.acm.org/doi/abs/10.1145/3555776.3578634}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1145/3555776.3578634}, year = {2023}, date = {2023-01-01}, booktitle = {SAC 38th Annual ACM Symposium on Applied Computing}, pages = {441-448}, abstract = {The year 2022 was the driest year in Portugal since 1931 with 97% of territory in severe drought. Water is especially important for the agricultural sector in Portugal, as it represents 78% total consumption according to the Water Footprint report published in 2010. Reference evapotranspiration is essential due to its importance in optimal irrigation planning that reduces water consumption. This study analyzes and proposes a framework to forecast daily reference evapotranspiration at eight stations in Portugal from 2012 to 2022 without relying on public meteorological forecasts. The data include meteorological data obtained from sensors included in the stations. The goal is to perform a multi-horizon forecasting of reference evapotranspiration using the multiple related covariates. The framework combines the data processing and the analysis of several state-of-the-art forecasting methods including classical, linear, tree-based, artificial neural network and ensembles. Then, an ensemble of all trained models is proposed using a recent bioinspired metaheuristic named Coronavirus Optimization Algorithm to weight the predictions. The results in terms of MAE and MSE are reported, indicating that our approach achieved a MAE of 0.658.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } The year 2022 was the driest year in Portugal since 1931 with 97% of territory in severe drought. Water is especially important for the agricultural sector in Portugal, as it represents 78% total consumption according to the Water Footprint report published in 2010. Reference evapotranspiration is essential due to its importance in optimal irrigation planning that reduces water consumption. This study analyzes and proposes a framework to forecast daily reference evapotranspiration at eight stations in Portugal from 2012 to 2022 without relying on public meteorological forecasts. The data include meteorological data obtained from sensors included in the stations. The goal is to perform a multi-horizon forecasting of reference evapotranspiration using the multiple related covariates. The framework combines the data processing and the analysis of several state-of-the-art forecasting methods including classical, linear, tree-based, artificial neural network and ensembles. Then, an ensemble of all trained models is proposed using a recent bioinspired metaheuristic named Coronavirus Optimization Algorithm to weight the predictions. The results in terms of MAE and MSE are reported, indicating that our approach achieved a MAE of 0.658. |
2022 |
M. Á. Molina and M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and R. Arjona and F. Mártinez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés DIAFAN-TL: An instance weighting-based transfer learning algorithm with application to phenology forecasting Journal Article Knowledge-Based Systems, 254 , pp. 109644, 2022. @article{MOLINA22, title = {DIAFAN-TL: An instance weighting-based transfer learning algorithm with application to phenology forecasting}, author = {M. Á. Molina and M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and R. Arjona and F. Mártinez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0950705122008322}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1016/j.knosys.2022.109644}, year = {2022}, date = {2022-10-22}, journal = {Knowledge-Based Systems}, volume = {254}, pages = {109644}, abstract = {The agricultural sector has been, and still is, the most important economic sector in many countries. Due to advances in technology, the amount and variety of available data have been increasing over the years. However, compared to other economic sectors, there is not always enough quality data for one particular domain (crops, plantations, plots) to obtain acceptable forecasting results with machine learning algorithms. In this context, transfer learning can help extract knowledge from different but related domains with enough data to transfer it to a target domain with scarce data. This process can overcome forecasting accuracy compared to training models uniquely with data from the target domain. In this work, a novel instance weighting-based transfer learning algorithm is proposed and applied to the phenology forecasting problem. A new metric named DIAFAN is proposed to weight samples from different source domains according to their relationship with the target domain, promoting the diversity of the information and avoiding inconsistent samples. Additionally, a set of validation schemes is specifically designed to ensure fair comparisons in terms of data volume with other benchmark transfer learning algorithms. The proposed algorithm, DIAFAN-TL, is tested with a proposed dataset of 16 plots of olive groves from different places, including information fusion from satellite images, meteorological stations and human field sampling of crop phenology. DIAFAN-TL achieves a remarkable improvement with respect to 15 other well-known transfer learning algorithms and three nontransfer learning scenarios. Finally, several performance analyses according to the different phenological states, prediction horizons and source domains are also performed.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } The agricultural sector has been, and still is, the most important economic sector in many countries. Due to advances in technology, the amount and variety of available data have been increasing over the years. However, compared to other economic sectors, there is not always enough quality data for one particular domain (crops, plantations, plots) to obtain acceptable forecasting results with machine learning algorithms. In this context, transfer learning can help extract knowledge from different but related domains with enough data to transfer it to a target domain with scarce data. This process can overcome forecasting accuracy compared to training models uniquely with data from the target domain. In this work, a novel instance weighting-based transfer learning algorithm is proposed and applied to the phenology forecasting problem. A new metric named DIAFAN is proposed to weight samples from different source domains according to their relationship with the target domain, promoting the diversity of the information and avoiding inconsistent samples. Additionally, a set of validation schemes is specifically designed to ensure fair comparisons in terms of data volume with other benchmark transfer learning algorithms. The proposed algorithm, DIAFAN-TL, is tested with a proposed dataset of 16 plots of olive groves from different places, including information fusion from satellite images, meteorological stations and human field sampling of crop phenology. DIAFAN-TL achieves a remarkable improvement with respect to 15 other well-known transfer learning algorithms and three nontransfer learning scenarios. Finally, several performance analyses according to the different phenological states, prediction horizons and source domains are also performed. |
A. M. Chacón-Maldonado and M. A. Molina and A. Troncoso and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés HAIS 17th International Conference on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2022. @conference{HAIS22_Andres, title = {Olive Phenology Forecasting Using Information Fusion-Based Imbalanced Preprocessing and Automated Deep Learning}, author = {A. M. Chacón-Maldonado and M. A. Molina and A. Troncoso and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-15471-3_24}, year = {2022}, date = {2022-09-12}, booktitle = {HAIS 17th International Conference on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems}, journal = {HAIS 17th International Conference on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2022}, pages = {274-285}, series = {Lecture Notes in Computer Science}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } |
A. Gómez-Losada and G. Asencio-Cortés and N. Duch-Brown Automatic Eligibility of Sellers in an Online Marketplace: A Case Study of Amazon Algorithm Journal Article Information, 13 (44), pp. 1–16, 2022. @article{losada2022, title = {Automatic Eligibility of Sellers in an Online Marketplace: A Case Study of Amazon Algorithm}, author = {A. Gómez-Losada and G. Asencio-Cortés and N. Duch-Brown}, url = {https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/13/2/44}, doi = {10.3390/info13020044}, year = {2022}, date = {2022-01-01}, journal = {Information}, volume = {13}, number = {44}, pages = {1--16}, abstract = {Purchase processes on Amazon Marketplace begin at the Buy Box, which represents the buy click process through which numerous sellers compete. This study aimed to estimate empirically the relevant seller characteristics that Amazon could consider featuring in the Buy Box. To that end, 22 product categories from Italy’s Amazon web page were studied over a ten-month period, and the sellers were analyzed through their products featured in the Buy Box. Two different experiments were proposed and the results were analyzed using four classification algorithms (a neural network, random forest, support vector machine, and C5.0 decision trees) and a rule-based classification. The first experiment aimed to characterize sellers unspecifically by predicting their change at the Buy Box. The second one aimed to predict which seller would be featured in it. Both experiments revealed that the customer experience and the dynamics of the sellers’ prices were important features of the Buy Box. Additionally, we proposed a set of default features that Amazon could consider when no information about sellers was available. We also proposed the possible existence of a relationship or composition among important features that could be used for sellers to be featured in the Buy Box.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Purchase processes on Amazon Marketplace begin at the Buy Box, which represents the buy click process through which numerous sellers compete. This study aimed to estimate empirically the relevant seller characteristics that Amazon could consider featuring in the Buy Box. To that end, 22 product categories from Italy’s Amazon web page were studied over a ten-month period, and the sellers were analyzed through their products featured in the Buy Box. Two different experiments were proposed and the results were analyzed using four classification algorithms (a neural network, random forest, support vector machine, and C5.0 decision trees) and a rule-based classification. The first experiment aimed to characterize sellers unspecifically by predicting their change at the Buy Box. The second one aimed to predict which seller would be featured in it. Both experiments revealed that the customer experience and the dynamics of the sellers’ prices were important features of the Buy Box. Additionally, we proposed a set of default features that Amazon could consider when no information about sellers was available. We also proposed the possible existence of a relationship or composition among important features that could be used for sellers to be featured in the Buy Box. |
M.A. Castán-Lascorz and P. Jiménez-Herrera and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés A new hybrid method for predicting univariate and multivariate time series based on pattern forecasting Journal Article Information Sciences, 586 , pp. 611–627, 2022. @article{castan2022, title = {A new hybrid method for predicting univariate and multivariate time series based on pattern forecasting}, author = {M.A. Castán-Lascorz and P. Jiménez-Herrera and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0020025521012226?via%3Dihub}, doi = {10.1016/j.ins.2021.12.001}, year = {2022}, date = {2022-01-01}, journal = {Information Sciences}, volume = {586}, pages = {611--627}, abstract = {Time series forecasting has become indispensable for multiple applications and industrial processes. Currently, a large number of algorithms have been developed to forecast time series, all of which are suitable depending on the characteristics and patterns to be inferred in each case. In this work, a new algorithm is proposed to predict both univariate and multivariate time series based on a combination of clustering, classification and forecasting techniques. The main goal of the proposed algorithm is first to group windows of time series values with similar patterns by applying a clustering process. Then, a specific forecasting model for each pattern is built and training is only conducted with the time windows corresponding to that pattern. The new algorithm has been designed using a flexible framework that allows the model to be generated using any combination of approaches within multiple machine learning techniques. To evaluate the model, several experiments are carried out using different configurations of the clustering, classification and forecasting methods that the model consists of. The results are analyzed and compared to classical prediction models, such as autoregressive, integrated, moving average and Holt-Winters models, to very recent forecasting methods, including deep, long short-term memory neural networks, and to well-known methods in the literature, such as k nearest neighbors, classification and regression trees, as well as random forest.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } Time series forecasting has become indispensable for multiple applications and industrial processes. Currently, a large number of algorithms have been developed to forecast time series, all of which are suitable depending on the characteristics and patterns to be inferred in each case. In this work, a new algorithm is proposed to predict both univariate and multivariate time series based on a combination of clustering, classification and forecasting techniques. The main goal of the proposed algorithm is first to group windows of time series values with similar patterns by applying a clustering process. Then, a specific forecasting model for each pattern is built and training is only conducted with the time windows corresponding to that pattern. The new algorithm has been designed using a flexible framework that allows the model to be generated using any combination of approaches within multiple machine learning techniques. To evaluate the model, several experiments are carried out using different configurations of the clustering, classification and forecasting methods that the model consists of. The results are analyzed and compared to classical prediction models, such as autoregressive, integrated, moving average and Holt-Winters models, to very recent forecasting methods, including deep, long short-term memory neural networks, and to well-known methods in the literature, such as k nearest neighbors, classification and regression trees, as well as random forest. |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and I. S. Sousa Brito and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés Feature-Aware Drop Layer (FADL): A Nonparametric Neural Network Layer for Feature Selection Conference SOCO 17th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications, 531 , Lecture Notes in Networks Systems 2022. @conference{FADL23, title = {Feature-Aware Drop Layer (FADL): A Nonparametric Neural Network Layer for Feature Selection}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and M. Martínez-Ballesteros and I. S. Sousa Brito and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-031-18050-7_54}, year = {2022}, date = {2022-01-01}, booktitle = {SOCO 17th International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications}, volume = {531}, pages = {557-566}, series = {Lecture Notes in Networks Systems}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } |
2021 |
M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and F. Martínez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés HLNet: A Novel Hierarchical Deep Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting Conference SOCO International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications, 1401 , Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing 2021. @conference{JIMENEZ-NAVARRO21, title = {HLNet: A Novel Hierarchical Deep Neural Network for Time Series Forecasting}, author = {M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and F. Martínez-Álvarez and A. Troncoso and G. Asencio-Cortés}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-87869-6_68}, year = {2021}, date = {2021-09-01}, booktitle = {SOCO International Conference on Soft Computing Models in Industrial and Environmental Applications}, volume = {1401}, pages = {717-727}, series = {Advances in Intelligent Systems and Computing}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } |
M. A. Molina and M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés A Model-Based Deep Transfer Learning Algorithm for Phenology Forecasting Using Satellite Imagery Conference HAIS 16th International Conference on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems, 12886 , Lecture Notes in Computer Science 2021. @conference{MOLINA21, title = {A Model-Based Deep Transfer Learning Algorithm for Phenology Forecasting Using Satellite Imagery}, author = {M. A. Molina and M. J. Jiménez-Navarro and F. Martínez-Álvarez and G. Asencio-Cortés}, url = {https://link.springer.com/chapter/10.1007/978-3-030-86271-8_43}, doi = {https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-86271-8_43}, year = {2021}, date = {2021-09-01}, booktitle = {HAIS 16th International Conference on Hybrid Artificial Intelligence Systems}, volume = {12886}, pages = {511-523}, series = {Lecture Notes in Computer Science}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {conference} } |
A. J. Pérez-Pulido and G. Asencio-Cortés and A. M. Brokate-Llanos and G. Brea-Calvo and M. R. Rodríguez-Griñolo and A. Garzón and M. J. Muñoz Briefings in Bioinformatics, 22 (2), pp. 1038–1052, 2021. @article{pulido2021, title = {Serial co-expression analysis of host factors from SARS-CoV viruses highly converges with former high-throughput screenings and proposes key regulators}, author = {A. J. Pérez-Pulido and G. Asencio-Cortés and A. M. Brokate-Llanos and G. Brea-Calvo and M. R. Rodríguez-Griñolo and A. Garzón and M. J. Muñoz}, url = {https://academic.oup.com/bib/article/22/2/1038/6103172}, doi = {10.1093/bib/bbaa419}, year = {2021}, date = {2021-01-01}, journal = {Briefings in Bioinformatics}, volume = {22}, number = {2}, pages = {1038--1052}, abstract = {The current genomics era is bringing an unprecedented growth in the amount of gene expression data, only comparable to the exponential growth of sequences in databases during the last decades. This data allow the design of secondary analyses that take advantage of this information to create new knowledge. One of these feasible analyses is the evaluation of the expression level for a gene through a series of different conditions or cell types. Based on this idea, we have developed Automatic and Serial Analysis of CO-expression, which performs expression profiles for a given gene along hundreds of heterogeneous and normalized transcriptomics experiments and discover other genes that show either a similar or an inverse behavior. It might help to discover co-regulated genes, and common transcriptional regulators in any biological model. The present severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic is an opportunity to test this novel approach due to the wealth of data that are being generated, which could be used for validating results. Thus, we have identified 35 host factors in the literature putatively involved in the infectious cycle of SARS-CoV viruses and searched for genes tightly co-expressed with them. We have found 1899 co-expressed genes whose assigned functions are strongly related to viral cycles. Moreover, this set of genes heavily overlaps with those identified by former laboratory.}, keywords = {}, pubstate = {published}, tppubtype = {article} } The current genomics era is bringing an unprecedented growth in the amount of gene expression data, only comparable to the exponential growth of sequences in databases during the last decades. This data allow the design of secondary analyses that take advantage of this information to create new knowledge. One of these feasible analyses is the evaluation of the expression level for a gene through a series of different conditions or cell types. Based on this idea, we have developed Automatic and Serial Analysis of CO-expression, which performs expression profiles for a given gene along hundreds of heterogeneous and normalized transcriptomics experiments and discover other genes that show either a similar or an inverse behavior. It might help to discover co-regulated genes, and common transcriptional regulators in any biological model. The present severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic is an opportunity to test this novel approach due to the wealth of data that are being generated, which could be used for validating results. Thus, we have identified 35 host factors in the literature putatively involved in the infectious cycle of SARS-CoV viruses and searched for genes tightly co-expressed with them. We have found 1899 co-expressed genes whose assigned functions are strongly related to viral cycles. Moreover, this set of genes heavily overlaps with those identified by former laboratory. |